Montpelliervs
Dijon
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 8/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montpellier · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Montpellier are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dijon are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Montpellier hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Ligue 2, while Montpellier holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montpellier
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20