GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 7/19/2026, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Monterrey are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santos Laguna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey hold a 45.5-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 19.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Liga MX, while Monterrey holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

63.2%

Monterrey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonterreyDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Santos LagunaLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MonterreySantos Laguna
66.7Attack22.2
55.6Defence22.2
66.7Form0.0
64.7Power19.2
2.29xG0.97
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