Monterreyvs
Santos Laguna
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 7/19/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Monterrey are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santos Laguna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey hold a 45.5-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 19.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Liga MX, while Monterrey holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monterrey
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Monterrey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80