Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Monterrey are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Juarez are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey hold a 49.2-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 15.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Liga MX, while Monterrey holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monterrey
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
10.5%
Monterrey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80