Monterey Bayvs
Orange County SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Monterey Bay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Orange County SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orange County SC
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00