GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterey Bay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monterey Bay are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakland Roots hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the USL League One Cup, while Monterey Bay holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterey Bay

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Monterey Bay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterey BayLLDLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Oakland RootsWDDLD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Monterey BayOakland Roots
58.3Attack33.3
25.0Defence58.3
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power43.3
1.51xG1.42
View match centre →