GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oakland Roots · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monterey Bay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakland Roots hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the USL Championship, while Oakland Roots holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oakland Roots

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Oakland Roots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterey BayDLLWD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Oakland RootsWDDLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Monterey BayOakland Roots
35.0Attack41.7
40.0Defence51.7
25.0Form36.7
35.6Power45.9
1.05xG1.41
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