Monterey Bayvs
New Mexico United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Monterey Bay are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while New Mexico United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and new Mexico United hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring New Mexico United with 13.1% confidence, a 45% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
13.1%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40