Monterey BayvsLoudoun United

Monterey Bay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Loudoun United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Loudoun United hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the USL Championship, while Loudoun United holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.