Monterey Bayvs
El Paso Locomotive
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 6/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monterey Bay are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60