GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Birmingham Legion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monterey Bay are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham Legion hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the USL Championship, while Birmingham Legion holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Birmingham Legion

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterey BayLLLDL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Birmingham LegionDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Monterey BayBirmingham Legion
35.0Attack35.3
40.0Defence58.8
25.0Form33.3
35.6Power45.0
0.90xG1.19
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