GGOALVIO

Japan · J2 League · 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Montedio Yamagata · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Montedio Yamagata are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tochigi City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Montedio Yamagata hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the J2 League, while Montedio Yamagata holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Montedio Yamagata

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Montedio Yamagata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Montedio YamagataWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tochigi CityLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Montedio YamagataTochigi City
66.7Attack83.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
88.7Power60.5
1.42xG1.09
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