Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Montana are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Nesebar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Montana hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 32.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Second League, while Montana holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montana
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Montana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00