Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Montana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Marek are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Montana hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Second League, while Montana holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montana
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
13.7%
Montana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80