Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Csepel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monori Se are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Csepel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Csepel hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the NB III - Southeast, while Csepel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Csepel
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
Csepel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80