GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 3/27/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monaro Panthers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Monaro Panthers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tuggeranong United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Monaro Panthers hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.2% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Monaro Panthers holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monaro Panthers

Probability

67.2%

Model confidence

67.2%

Monaro Panthers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monaro PanthersLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tuggeranong UnitedLLWLW

GF 11 · GA 18 · avg 2.20/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Monaro PanthersTuggeranong United
100.0Attack82.5
54.4Defence31.6
75.4Form68.4
72.9Power60.5
4.46xG2.11
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