GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 4/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monagas SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Monagas SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rayo Zuliano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monagas SC hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Primera División, while Monagas SC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monagas SC

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

14.6%

Monagas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monagas SCLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rayo ZulianoWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Monagas SCRayo Zuliano
34.5Attack35.4
51.2Defence45.8
35.7Form35.4
43.1Power40.3
1.21xG0.94
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