GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carabobo FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Monagas SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Carabobo FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Carabobo FC hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Carabobo FC with 14.8% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carabobo FC

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

14.8%

Carabobo FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monagas SCLLDLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Carabobo FCWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Monagas SCCarabobo FC
35.4Attack53.6
45.8Defence68.1
29.2Form52.2
38.6Power58.0
0.68xG1.68
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