Monagas IIvs
Aragua FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 4/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Monagas II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Aragua FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Monagas II hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80