GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 7/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Molinos El Pirata · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Molinos El Pirata are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while U. San Martin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Molinos El Pirata hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Segunda División, while Molinos El Pirata holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Molinos El Pirata

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Molinos El Pirata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Molinos El PirataLLWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
U. San MartinLDWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Molinos El PirataU. San Martin
54.5Attack43.3
60.6Defence56.7
60.6Form36.7
60.3Power46.0
1.59xG0.89
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