GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Molinos El Pirata · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Molinos El Pirata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cesar Vallejo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Molinos El Pirata hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Segunda División, while Molinos El Pirata holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Molinos El Pirata

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Molinos El Pirata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Molinos El PirataWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Cesar VallejoWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Molinos El PirataCesar Vallejo
54.5Attack26.7
60.6Defence66.7
60.6Form33.3
60.3Power44.5
1.23xG0.55
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