GGOALVIO

Norway · Toppserien · 5/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Ålesund W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Molde W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fortuna Ålesund W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Ålesund W hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.9% in the Toppserien, while Fortuna Ålesund W holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Ålesund W

Probability

69.9%

Model confidence

69.9%

Fortuna Ålesund W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Molde WLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fortuna Ålesund WWLDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Molde WFortuna Ålesund W
53.8Attack80.6
38.5Defence63.9
38.5Form77.8
44.4Power73.0
1.16xG2.99
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