Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Molde are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tromso are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
11.1%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40