GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Molde are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sarpsborg 08 FF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Molde

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MoldeWLDLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFWDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
60.4Attack39.6
50.0Defence56.3
50.0Form45.8
54.0Power49.6
1.73xG1.08
View match centre →