Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Molde are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Brann are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.0 against 52.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80