Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
Molde II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Byåsen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Byåsen hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Molde II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde II
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Molde II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40