GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holyhead Hotspur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Mold Alexandra are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Holyhead Hotspur are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Holyhead Hotspur hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the FAW Championship, while Holyhead Hotspur holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holyhead Hotspur

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

9.6%

Holyhead Hotspur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mold AlexandraLDDLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Holyhead HotspurLWDWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Mold AlexandraHolyhead Hotspur
66.7Attack50.0
16.7Defence50.0
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power53.0
1.83xG1.86
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