GGOALVIO

India · Calcutta Premier Division · 7/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mohun Bagan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Mohun Bagan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Patha Chakra are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mohun Bagan hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 24.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.7% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while Mohun Bagan holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mohun Bagan

Probability

80.7%

Model confidence

80.7%

Mohun Bagan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mohun BaganWLWDL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Patha ChakraLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mohun BaganPatha Chakra
61.9Attack33.3
81.0Defence0.0
61.9Form28.6
66.7Power24.7
2.95xG0.62
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