GGOALVIO

India · Calcutta Premier Division · 7/19/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mohun Bagan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Mohun Bagan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kalighat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mohun Bagan hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while Mohun Bagan holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mohun Bagan

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

12.1%

Mohun Bagan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mohun BaganDWWLW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KalighatLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mohun BaganKalighat
61.9Attack47.6
81.0Defence52.4
61.9Form33.3
66.7Power43.7
1.92xG0.82
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