ML Vitebskvs
Smorgon
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 3/28/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
ML Vitebsk are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Smorgon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ML Vitebsk hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while ML Vitebsk holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ML Vitebsk
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60