Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MKK-Dnepr · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
MKK-Dnepr are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Naftan are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MKK-Dnepr hold a 41.2-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.0% in the Premier League, while MKK-Dnepr holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MKK-Dnepr
Probability
89.0%
Model confidence
89.0%
MKK-Dnepr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60