GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dnepr Mogilev · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

MKK-Dnepr are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while FC Dnepr Mogilev are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and MKK-Dnepr hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Dnepr Mogilev holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dnepr Mogilev

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

13.9%

FC Dnepr Mogilev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MKK-DneprWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC Dnepr MogilevDWLLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MKK-DneprFC Dnepr Mogilev
33.3Attack66.7
77.8Defence58.3
61.1Form45.8
60.7Power55.9
1.22xG1.37
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