Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mixco are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Marquense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mixco hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Liga Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00