GGOALVIO

Mito Hollyhock logoMito HollyhockvsV-varen Nagasaki logoV-varen Nagasaki

COMPLETED

Japan · J1 League · 6/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mito Hollyhock are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while V-varen Nagasaki are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and V-varen Nagasaki hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

V-varen Nagasaki

Probability

34.1%

Model confidence

34.1%

V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mito HollyhockLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
V-varen NagasakiWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mito HollyhockV-varen Nagasaki
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power53.0
1.23xG1.26
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