GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mito Hollyhock · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mito Hollyhock are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mito Hollyhock hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the J1 League, while Mito Hollyhock holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mito Hollyhock

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

13.4%

Mito Hollyhock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mito HollyhockLLDDL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tokyo VerdyDLLWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
16.7Form16.7
36.5Power31.3
1.51xG1.18
View match centre →