GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mito Hollyhock are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mito HollyhockLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Machida ZelviaLWWWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
33.3Attack100.0
50.0Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power95.8
1.09xG1.66
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