GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mito Hollyhock · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mito Hollyhock are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kawasaki Frontale are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kawasaki Frontale hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the J1 League, while Mito Hollyhock holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mito Hollyhock

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

13.7%

Mito Hollyhock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mito HollyhockLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kawasaki FrontaleDLWLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
33.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power48.3
1.34xG1.32
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