Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mirassol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mirassol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Remo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mirassol hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Serie A, while Mirassol holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mirassol
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
14.2%
Mirassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40