GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 5/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mirassol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fluminense are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MirassolWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FluminenseWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MirassolFluminense
38.1Attack49.3
52.4Defence59.4
36.5Form55.1
45.3Power57.2
0.95xG1.33
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