Mirassolvs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 5/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mirassol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Corinthians are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00