GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 5/10/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mirassol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Mirassol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mirassol hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Serie A, while Mirassol holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mirassol

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

12.9%

Mirassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MirassolWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chapecoense-scLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MirassolChapecoense-sc
38.1Attack31.7
52.4Defence31.7
36.5Form15.9
45.3Power29.4
1.75xG0.79
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