Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Miramar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oriental are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20