Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Miramar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while La Luz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and La Luz hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00