Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Minsk II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Volna are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Volna hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the 1. Division, while Volna holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Volna
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Volna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60