Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gomel II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Minsk II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gomel II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Minsk II hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the 1. Division, while Gomel II holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gomel II
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Gomel II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00