GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 6/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Minnesota United II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while Minnesota United II holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United II

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Minnesota United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United IILWLWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tacoma DefianceWWLWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Minnesota United IITacoma Defiance
45.5Attack45.5
47.0Defence51.5
42.4Form47.0
46.8Power49.6
1.44xG1.36
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