Minnesota United IIvs
Tacoma Defiance
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 6/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minnesota United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Minnesota United II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while Minnesota United II holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minnesota United II
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Minnesota United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40