GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Minnesota United FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

13.0%

Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United FCLDLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver WhitecapsLDWWL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
37.0Attack74.5
53.7Defence66.7
44.4Form66.7
47.1Power68.4
0.75xG2.02
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