Minnesota United FCvs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Minnesota United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Sounders hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Major League Soccer, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60