GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/2/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Minnesota United FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Diego are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.1 against 47.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

13.1%

San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United FCDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San DiegoWLLDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCSan Diego
37.0Attack59.3
53.7Defence46.3
44.4Form38.9
47.1Power47.8
1.29xG1.51
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