Minnesota United FCvs
San Diego
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/2/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Minnesota United FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Diego are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.1 against 47.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
13.1%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60