Minnesota United FCvs
Real Salt Lake
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/23/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Minnesota United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Real Salt Lake are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Salt Lake
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
13.5%
Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20