GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/19/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Minnesota United FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.1 against 48.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

12.3%

Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United FCWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Portland TimbersWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers
37.0Attack61.1
53.7Defence38.9
44.4Form44.4
47.1Power48.4
1.46xG1.57
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